How Recent Cuts by the Federal Reserve Are Creating a Buying Opportunity at the End of 2025

What the Fed did — and why it matters for you
As your local real‑estate guide here in the Greater San Antonio market, I’ve seen a lot of interest in the “when to buy” question. In 2025, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate (the federal funds rate) by 0.25 percentage points as part of a broader easing strategy. (reuters.com)
Now, you might ask: “Mark, does that mean my 30‑year fixed mortgage rate will drop by the same amount?” Not exactly—here’s how it works:
- The Fed’s rate directly affects short‑term borrowing costs in the banking system (overnight loans, etc.).
- Mortgage rates (especially 30‑year fixed) are far more influenced by long‑term interest rates—for example, yields on the 10‑year U.S. Treasury bond.
- That means when the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates will often move downward, but not always by the same amount or immediately. Market conditions, bond yields, inflation expectations, and supply/demand all play roles.
In short: the Fed cut is good news, but it’s not a guarantee of huge mortgage‑rate drops or big discounts. It does create an opportunity window for you.
Why this creates a buyer opportunity (especially now)
Here’s why this is interesting for you as someone considering buying in San Antonio (or nearby Hill Country communities like Boerne, Fair Oaks, Schertz, Cibolo, Hollywood Park, Hill Country Village):
- Lower borrowing cost = lower monthly payment.
- Improved buying power.
- Less competition (for now).
- Inventory may pick up.
Because you’re working with a local agent (hi, that’s me — Mark Stillings, Associate Broker, M.B.A., 18 years of experience here in San Antonio), you get guidance that connects these national shifts to your neighborhood search.
Sample scenario: $400,000 purchase with 5% down
Let’s walk through a real-world example. You’re buying a $400,000 home with 5% down ($20,000), financing $380,000:
- Scenario A – 7.0% interest rate: ~$2,528/month
- Scenario B – 6.0% interest rate: ~$2,277/month
That’s a $251/month difference in principal and interest. Over the year, that’s over $3,000 saved—and over the life of the loan, it really adds up.
If rates dip even further—say to 5.5%—you could see $300–$350/month in savings compared to where rates were in early 2025. That could be the difference between a financial stretch and a comfortable fit.
What could happen in the near future & your local strategy
Rate-drop scenarios
- Mortgage rates may shift toward 5.5% by year-end.
- Even a modest dip to 6.0% creates a more affordable entry point.
- Rates could swing again depending on inflation, global economics, and supply chains.
What to do in San Antonio
- Get pre-approved now.
- Watch rates, but don’t wait forever.
- Narrow in on your target neighborhoods.
- Know when to lock your rate.
- Budget for the full cost, not just principal and interest.
- Think resale value from the start.
Interest-rate drops don’t magically solve every challenge—but they can give you real leverage if you’re prepared. Now is the moment to align low borrowing costs with a focused home search in the San Antonio area.
As your local expert, I’ll help you read the signs, run the numbers, and move when it’s time. With nearly two decades of helping buyers succeed, I know how to guide you through this opportunity.
Let’s make your move
If you're thinking of buying soon, reach out today. I’ll help you:
- Check your buying power
- Track rate trends
- Match you with homes that fit your goals
- Move quickly when rates and homes align
Call/Text: 210.772.3123
Email: mark@markstillings.com
TikTok: @markstillingsrealtor
Instagram: @mark_stillings
YouTube: @markstillings
Let’s get you home.
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